Two of the main areas of scenario planning involve abrupt change and diverse aspects of securities.
Abrupt climate change
Modelling of business, industrial and economic systems in response to abrupt climate change. Assessment of efficacy of policy instruments and roll-out of global resource management programmes.
Energy, materials, water & climate security
Development of low-carbon economies will lead to the convergence of many areas of security that either did not exists previously or were separate. We may see new security systems converge around energy, water, materials and climate security.
This research focuses on the development of industrial and business scenarios under various regimes of climate change and environmental stress. The purpose of the work is to identify technological and economic challenges to large-scale carbon reduction and the design of successful mitigation solutions.